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A leaked Brussels document gave projected default CBAM charges for 2026. Urea has the lowest carbon cost as a share of its price, while nitrates and some ammonium sulphate origins face much higher charges.
The estimated default cost for Egyptian urea, the EU's top supplier, is about €43/t.
The leak suggests EU nitrogen imports will shift toward urea and away from nitrates and ammonium sulphate, supporting urea demand and prices relative to other nitrogen products.
worldfertilizer.comWillow MunzDec 12, 2025After 129 past bullish policy events, Urea moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
