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New York Harbor barge ULSD rose 24.07 cents to $4.87/USG, the highest since November 2022, as futures climbed on Middle East tensions and supply concerns. Distillate stocks on the Central Atlantic coast fell to historically low levels, and export loadings rose sharply.
Low East Coast distillate inventories and high regional differentials raise delivered diesel costs for feed and grain transport. The Middle East risk premium supports higher crude and distillate prices.
argusmedia.comStephanie CrawfordMar 25, 2024After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
