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An American Farm Bureau economist examines water-level restrictions at the Panama Canal and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, which have limited trade through both passages. The piece notes about 14% of US maritime trade and 72% of Panama cargo by weight is US-linked, and that bulk US farm exports depend on the canal.
Canal restrictions and Red Sea diversions raise freight costs and transit delays for US bulk ag exports, pressuring Gulf export basis and widening the spread to Brazilian and Black Sea origins.
potatogrower.comBetty Resnick, Economist, American Farm Bureau FederationApr 3, 2024Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 284 past neutral logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.4%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 230 past neutral logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
