Chinese DAP prices fell about 4.5% to USD 530/MT FOB Qingdao in the week ending April 26, 2024, after Beijing loosened its export restrictions in April. The release of supply pushed offers lower in recent tenders, while a 10-day export approval process slowed the decline somewhat.
Extra Chinese DAP supply in a market already seen as oversupplied pressures global phosphate prices lower, which eases input costs for feed and grain producers buying phosphate.
After 50 past bearish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.1% to +1.6%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.