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An analysis piece argues the feeder cattle market is in a cattle cycle similar to 2014, with prices hitting record highs after drought reduced beef cow numbers. The US beef cow herd on January 1 was 11% below the 2019 cycle peak.
Shrinking feeder supplies keep feedlot demand for feed strong, supporting cattle prices and feed grain demand over the coming period.
wlj.netPaul Dykstra, CAB director of supply managementMay 10, 2024After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
