The USDA November Cattle on Feed report showed October feedlot placements at 2.245 million head (102.4% of last year) and marketings at 1.788 million (95.5%). The November 1 on-feed total was 11.948 million head, 99.8% of last year, the fifth straight monthly year-over-year decline.
Fed cattle prices had risen above $130/cwt as packers chased tighter supplies.
Shrinking feedlot inventories and tighter market-ready supplies support fed and feeder cattle prices, while higher cost of gain squeezes feeding margins.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Cattle on Feed showed a fifth straight on-feed decline and lower marketings, signaling tighter supplies as packers chase cattle.