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The USDA raised its FY2024 ethanol export forecast by $400 million to $4 billion, and projects a record volume that would exceed the FY2018 record of 1.6 billion gallons. It cited competitive U.S. prices and a more favorable U.S.-Brazil spread.
A record export forecast raises demand for U.S. ethanol and supports corn use for fuel. Stronger export competitiveness also adds to corn demand.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.