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Chinese pig prices have trended upward for several weeks after a government-directed reduction in the sow herd target from 41 million to 39 million. The Chinese sow herd is now just under 40 million, and the number of pigs fell 4.9% from October 2023 to March 2024.
A shrinking Chinese hog herd reduces feed demand over time, which is bearish for soybean meal and corn imports, while firmer hog prices may eventually support more feeding later.
en.boerenbusiness.nlMatthijs BremerMay 29, 2024After 37 past bullish policy events, HOGS moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -2.8% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
