EU crop yield forecasts remain above the 5-year average despite challenging weather conditions

After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.

• Aug 21, 2023Little change to mediocre EU crop yield outlook - Joint Research Centre-2.4%
• Jun 22, 2026Fair yield outlook maintained for winter crops - Joint Research Centre-1.6%
• May 22, 2018Average yield forecasts for EU cereals - weaker for+0.7%
• Oct 27, 2025Disappointing summer crop season in the south-east - Joint Research Centre+3.8%
• May 18, 2026Fair outlook despite water stress - Joint Research Centre+0.4%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Jun 22, 2026Fair yield outlook maintained for winter crops - Joint Research Centre-0.8%
• Sep 1, 2024Preseason maize and wheat yield forecasts for early warning of crop failure+1.2%
• Sep 1, 2022USDA: Farm Sector Profits Forecast to Remain Above Average in 2022 - Pro Farmer-1.8%
• Aug 13, 2024Despite lower production and inventory forecasts in the USDA report, wheat exchange prices fell-1.2%
• Jan 15, 2020USDA Reports Increase in Corn and Soybean Yields Amidst Challenging Weather- Crop Biotech Update (January 15, 2020) | Crop Biotech Update - ISAAA.org+0.3%