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The JRC MARS October bulletin expects EU summer crop yields mostly near or above average, but grain maize is 3% and sunflower 10% below the five-year average due to south-eastern Europe. Winter crop sowing is progressing well in most of Europe, with delays in Bulgaria, Romania, Portugal and Spain.
Lower maize and sunflower yields in south-east Europe tighten feed corn and sunflower meal supply, while otherwise healthy EU crops limit upside.
joint-research-centre.ec.europa.euOct 27, 2025After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
