GMT EIGHT - Latest - Citi lowers euro-to-dollar forecast due to European risks and high oil prices.

After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Dec 28, 2016Euro To Dollar Forecast: Rally In EUR USD Exchange Rate Falters And 2017 Looks Bearish+0.2%
• Sep 29, 2026Euro's dollar resilience faces energy price, political risk tests | Reuters-1.4%
• Sep 30, 2018The British Pound, Euro And US Dollar (GBP, EUR, USD) Exchange Rate Forecasts - Brexit Update | Exchange Rates UK-1.0%
• Mar 15, 2023Euro Slumps against Pound and Dollar as European Banking Fears Rise+0.4%
• Dec 12, 2024Dollar higher on fresh inflation data, euro lower after ECB rate cut-0.4%

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Dec 28, 2016Euro To Dollar Forecast: Rally In EUR USD Exchange Rate Falters And 2017 Looks Bearish-0.1%
• Dec 15, 2022Oil prices slid 2% as dollar firms and central banks hike interest rates+0.4%
• Oct 31, 2022Canadian dollar slips to six-day low as oil prices fall - The Globe and Mail-0.1%
• Nov 3, 2017British Pound Tanks Vs Euro, Dollar Exchange Rates After BoE Hike - ING Exchange Rate Forecast+0.0%
• Sep 29, 2026Euro's dollar resilience faces energy price, political risk tests | Reuters+0.5%