
Latin American currencies led emerging-market declines as the dollar strengthened ahead of key US data, with the Brazilian real and Mexican peso falling most. Bolivia also saw an apparent coup attempt that hit its bonds.
A stronger dollar and weaker regional currencies lower the local-currency cost of Latin American exports, which can weigh on soybean, corn and meal prices in dollar terms.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.