
Brazil's and Mexico's currencies weakened on Tuesday after stronger-than-expected US industrial data. The data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates in December.
A weaker real and peso raise the local-currency cost of imported feed ingredients and can increase export competitiveness for Brazilian and Mexican meat and grain sellers.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Strong US data raised expectations of a December Fed hike and a firmer dollar, pressuring EM currencies including the real, but the stated weakening is dated Tuesday and may not match the move ending Nov 1.