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The Brazilian real and stocks fell after the incoming Lula government proposed a constitutional amendment exempting about 175 billion reais from the 2023 spending cap. Analysts said the waiver could be permanent, prompting selling in Brazilian assets and other emerging market currencies.
A weaker real improves Brazil's export margins for soybeans, corn and meal, which can encourage farmer selling and pressure dollar-denominated feed prices.
financialpost.comReutersNov 17, 2022After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
