
The dollar dropped after US job gains for July were revised lower and the unemployment rate rose unexpectedly. Some Fed officials had reportedly wanted a rate cut in July, and traders priced in larger cuts on recession concerns.
Weak labour data increases the chance of faster Fed easing, which pressures the dollar and can lift dollar-priced commodities. Recession fears can also weigh on demand expectations for feed and livestock.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.