
The dollar extended losses after the Federal Reserve held rates steady at its July meeting but opened the door to a cut as soon as September. Powell said a cut could be on the table if inflation moves down as expected and the labor market holds.
Traders have fully priced in a September cut and expect further cuts by year-end.
Lower US rate expectations weaken the dollar, which tends to support dollar-denominated commodity prices and can lift US export competitiveness. A softer dollar and lower yields are generally supportive for feed input prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.