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The dollar index fell 1.9% on Friday after Fed officials, including Boston's Collins and Chicago's Evans, signaled slower rate hikes. The December federal funds futures contract eased about 6 bp, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose 2 bp to 4.17%.
The dollar closed the week roughly unchanged.
Expectations of smaller Fed hikes weaken the dollar, which typically supports dollar-priced grains and oilseeds. Lower rate expectations also reduce financing costs for commodity holders.
barchart.comRich AsplundNov 4, 2022After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
