
Euronext December wheat settled at €220.5/t, with Black Sea competition weighing on prices. China announced monetary stimulus including a 50 basis point reserve requirement cut and a 1 trillion yuan injection, which lifted broader commodities.
Black Sea winter wheat faces 60 days without significant rain.
Dry Black Sea conditions support wheat prices, while China's stimulus may bring fund buying into commodities more broadly.
After 57 past bullish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.7%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 78 past neutral macro events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.