
The September WASDE left most markets little changed, with corn production raised to a near-record 15.186 billion bushels and soybean output trimmed to 4.586 billion bushels. USDA largely looked past recent drought and crop quality concerns.
A near-record corn crop and a still-record soybean crop keep ample feed supply in view, limiting price upside. The modest soybean trim offers slight support to meal values.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.