CBOT wheat futures were heading for a ninth consecutive weekly loss, trading near $6.03 per bushel after touching $5.93 on Wednesday, the lowest since July 1. Prices have fallen nearly 25% from September highs on expectations of higher Russian grain exports.
Expanding Russian export supplies keep global wheat competitive and push down US wheat prices, making wheat a cheaper alternative to corn in feed rations.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.