Ukraine exported 26.08 million tonnes of grain and legumes as of December 6, 16.9% above last year. Russia's grain exports as of December 2 were 19% behind last year, with wheat down 18%.
Ukraine's corn exports were flat at 6.2 million tonnes against a 30 million tonne forecast.
Ukraine's faster export pace competes with Russian supply and pressures wheat and barley export prices, while the slower Russian pace reduces overall Black Sea availability and could support prices.
After 206 past neutral trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.