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S&P Global reports Brazil's soybean harvest for 2024-25 is forecast at a record 175 million mt, up 14.4% from the prior crop. Brazilian biodiesel producers expect higher soybean oil prices in the second half of 2025 due to a rising biofuel blend and possible US-China trade tensions.
A larger crush capacity boosts soybean meal and oil supply, while rising biodiesel blending tightens soyoil, supporting oil prices and possibly pulling in tallow imports.
spglobal.comDec 31, 2024After 296 past bullish report events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
