Weak, short-term La Niña expected to develop during winter

After 324 past neutral weather events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Mar 6, 2025La Niña event is expected to be short-lived-1.0%
• Feb 17, 2026Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET+0.1%
• Jan 22, 2026Will El Niño be slow to develop? | World Grain+1.0%
• Dec 3, 2025WMO Update predicts weak La Niña-3.3%
• Feb 1, 2026El Nino Expected to Influence US 2026 Growing Season+4.8%

After 445 past neutral weather events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Mar 6, 2025La Niña event is expected to be short-lived+1.8%
• Feb 17, 2026Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET-1.0%
• Aug 14, 2017What Does Lack of El Niño, La Niña Mean For Winter? | The Weather Channel-2.0%
• Jun 13, 2024La Nina weather 65% likely to develop in July-Sept, says US forecaster | Reuters-2.1%
• Jan 22, 2026Will El Niño be slow to develop? | World Grain+1.9%