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Coceral's first forecast for the 2025 crop puts the EU-27+UK total grain crop at 297.8 million tonnes, up about 20 million from 2024's 278.5 million. Wheat output is expected to rise from 125.5 to 140.4 million tonnes on higher area and a return to normal yields in Western Europe.
Corn, barley and rapeseed are also forecast higher.
A larger EU harvest adds exportable supply and eases import demand, which typically pressures wheat, corn and barley prices lower, though the size of the gain is still a forecast.
foodagribusiness.worldRuud PeijsJan 6, 2025After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
