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Oil World analyst Thomas Mielke expects global biodiesel and HVO production to decline in 2025 by about 0.5 million tons, versus average growth of roughly 4 million tons per year, as feedstock prices have risen faster than diesel. He doubts Indonesia can meet its B40 mandate and says Brazil has suspended a planned blend increase.
Weaker biodiesel margins reduce feedstock demand for palm oil and soybean oil, while a lower Indonesian mandate push would ease vegetable oil prices.
ukragroconsult.comFeb 27, 2025After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
