
India recorded its hottest February in 125 years, and the weather agency expects above-normal temperatures and heatwaves across most of the country from March to May. The early summer is disrupting businesses, including textile makers who have seen weak orders.
Early heat threatens Indian wheat yields during grain fill, which could tighten supply and support wheat prices. The effect on feed grains and oilseeds is less direct.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.