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India's phosphate price cap of $675 is freezing global valuations at historically high levels, with spot offers having reached $750 CFR before the cap. North American nitrogen supplies are extremely tight, with deliveries before June or July nearly unavailable.
Tight nitrogen and phosphate supply plus Indian price controls keep fertilizer costs elevated for feed grain producers, supporting high input costs into the summer season.
stonex.comGustian FarrowMay 1, 2025After 151 past bullish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.9% over 20.
After 129 past bullish policy events, Urea moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
North American nitrogen supply is extremely tight, with deliveries before June or July nearly unavailable, supporting spot price spikes.
North American nitrogen supplies are extremely tight with near-term deliveries nearly unavailable, supporting a price spike.
