India's Department of Fertilizers asked suppliers to raise DAP imports and domestic output ahead of the kharif and rabi seasons, warning of possible scarcity. Jan-July imports are down to 2.38mn t from 3.12mn t a year earlier, and domestic output fell to 1.16mn t in January-May.
DAP has reached a nine-year high of $590/t cfr India.
Tight Indian DAP supply and a nine-year high price keep phosphate fertilizer costs elevated, supporting input costs for feed grain and oilseed producers and pressuring farm margins.
After 151 past bullish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.