◂ Event Timeline

Jun 16, 2025MACROEuro area

ECB relaxed about euro strength, risk of too low inflation, de Guindos says

ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos said tariffs will weigh on euro zone growth and prices for years. He added that the risk of inflation undershooting is limited and the euro's rise against the dollar is not a major concern.

WHY IT MATTERS

Signals that the ECB is comfortable with a strong euro and a policy pause point to steady euro-dollar levels, with little direct effect on feed commodity prices.

AFFECTSEURUSD◆

SOURCE
reuters.comBalazs KoranyiJun 16, 2025

Price reaction & history

EURUSD◆neutralSO FAR1d +0.2%5d -0.2%20d +0.5%

After 129 past neutral macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.

Jul 30, 2024Euro holds above 3-week low ahead of inflation data+1.3%
Mar 1, 2026ECB Will Assess Impact of Euro Strength in March, Cipollone Says-1.8%
Jun 5, 2020ECB coronavirus stimulus expected to continue as inflation remains low+0.5%
Jan 28, 2021ECB despot rate cut isn't the way to counter Euro strength – IIF — Octa-0.6%
Mar 1, 2026ECB Has Yet to See Full Impact of Euro Appreciation, Kazaks Says-1.8%

Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.

EURUSD · GP ▸

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