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The euro held above three-week lows on July 30, 2024, ahead of German and eurozone inflation data. Traders put the odds of a September ECB cut below 50%, while US rate-cut odds were seen near 100%.
A widening rate gap in favour of the US tends to support the dollar, which can pressure dollar-denominated feed commodity prices and make imports into Europe more expensive.
economies.comRami HaddadJul 30, 2024After 129 past neutral macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
