
Analysts expect the ECB to keep buying government bonds beyond June 2021 after it expanded its pandemic programme to 1.35 trillion euros. The ECB also cut its inflation forecasts through 2022.
UniCredit said emergency purchases will continue for a long time.
Expectations of prolonged ECB bond buying keep euro rates low and point to continued pressure on the euro, which is a currency-level factor for dollar-priced commodities.
After 129 past neutral macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.