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ECB Executive Board member Piero Cipollone said the bank will assess the effects of the euro's recent rally on consumer prices in its March quarterly forecasts. He noted that recent currency moves have been fairly limited.
The March projections may clarify the ECB's policy path, which affects the euro and dollar, but the limited currency moves imply small near-term price effects.
After 129 past neutral macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.