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Ibovespa fell 1.02% on June 25, 2025, as Congress's push to revoke a financial transactions tax hike revived fiscal concerns. The real weakened 0.63% to R$5.55 per dollar, ranking among the worst performers in Latin America, with end-of-quarter capital outflows also weighing.
A weaker real raises the dollar-equivalent cost of Brazilian feed imports but makes Brazilian soybean and corn exports more competitive, which can pressure global prices.
valorinternational.globo.comLuana Reis, Gabriel Roca, Gabriel Caldeira, Maria Fernanda Salinet, Bruna FurlaniJun 26, 2025After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
