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Brazil's real reversed early gains to trade about 1% lower after the central bank kept the Selic rate at a record 2.00% and dropped its forward guidance on low rates. Investors focused on fiscal policy concerns and the need for stimulus against a record budget deficit.
Fiscal doubts and a hawkish shift in guidance weaken the real, which makes Brazilian dollar-priced exports such as soymeal cheaper for foreign buyers. This can pressure South American feed ingredient prices.
financialpost.comReutersJan 21, 2021After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
