Big global wheat crop expected to pressure prices

After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Feb 28, 2025Prices face pressure as larger U.S. crops expected this year | The Western Producer-3.6%
• Oct 29, 2025Large wheat supply pressures prices | The Western Producer-2.8%
• Aug 29, 2019Germany expects larger wheat crop despite heatwave | The Western Producer-3.2%
• Mar 27, 2025Wheat prices drop despite tighter ending stocks | The Western Producer-1.4%
• May 13, 2025Wheat production expected to grow by 11% in the European Union-4.2%

After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Oct 29, 2025Large wheat supply pressures prices | The Western Producer+3.2%
• Mar 27, 2025Wheat prices drop despite tighter ending stocks | The Western Producer+0.6%
• Oct 16, 2017Global wheat production lifts | The Land | NSW-3.1%
• Jun 18, 2024USDA reports provide mixed signals for wheat market | The Western Producer-4.9%
• Nov 26, 2024Improved crop condition in the US and accelerated harvest in Australia and Argentina increase pressure on wheat prices-4.0%