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China's pig industry representatives will meet in Beijing next week to discuss cutting breeding sow numbers by one million, according to an official notice seen by Reuters. The sow herd stood at 40.43 million head at end-June, above the normal holding level of 39 million, and cash hog prices have fallen sharply.
A planned reduction in breeding sows would tighten future hog supply and eventually cut demand for feed, which is bearish for soymeal and corn demand over time while supporting hog prices.
reuters.comElla CaoAug 7, 2025After 37 past bullish policy events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -2.8% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
China planning to cut sow numbers by one million signals oversupply and sharply lower Chinese hog prices, a bearish sentiment signal for global pork demand and prices, though the effect on US lean hogs is indirect.
