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The Reserve Bank of Australia left rates unchanged at 3.60% and signaled a cautious approach to future cuts. Market odds of a November cut dropped to about 38%, and markets priced only one more cut over the next year.
The more cautious RBA relative to the Fed supports the Aussie dollar, which affects the competitiveness of Australian grain and meal exports against US supply.
ofx.comBrett OttawaSep 30, 2025Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
