
Thailand's rice exports for January to August 2025 fell 23.98% in volume to 5.04 million tonnes and 30.58% in value to US$2.98 billion. The Department of Foreign Trade cited a global surplus, weaker import demand from Indonesia and the Philippines, and a stronger baht.
Lower Thai export volumes reflect a global surplus that keeps world rice prices under pressure. Weak import demand from key Asian buyers reinforces the bearish price outlook.
After 141 past bearish trade events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.3% to +2.4%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.