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Non-basmati rice exports in FY21 totaled about $4.8 billion, up 136% year on year, driven by competitive Indian pricing and demand from African and Asian buyers during the pandemic. Basmati exports fell 8% in value over the same period.
Aggressive Indian pricing is taking share in global rice trade, which tends to pressure rough rice and other cereal export prices.
After 141 past bearish trade events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.3% to +2.4%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.