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Indian non-basmati rice prices fell to multiyear lows, with Platts India Parboiled 5% at $324/mt FOB on May 5. African import restrictions in Senegal, Benin and Burkina Faso, plus new crop arrivals, weighed on the market.
Lower Indian export prices and African import curbs signal ample supply and weaker demand for rice in export markets.
After 141 past bearish trade events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.3% to +2.4%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.