The dollar fell 0.79% against the real to R$5.4603 on October 13, 2025, after Trump softened his rhetoric on China following a prior session in which he announced a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. Treasury Secretary Bessent said the tariffs would not take effect until November 1 and that a Trump-Xi meeting was still expected.
Easing US-China tension lowers the risk of trade disruption to soybean and grain demand, while the dollar move affects Brazilian export competitiveness.
After 52 past trade events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.