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Rabobank forecasts Australia's 2025/26 winter grain crop at 62.8 million tonnes, up 6.4% year on year, driven by wheat and canola yields and a rise in barley area. The bank warns that global grain supply is surging and will keep downward pressure on prices.
A larger Australian harvest intensifies export competition for wheat and barley, reinforcing bearish price expectations in global feed grain markets.
rabobank.com.auMedia Release DateOct 20, 2025After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
