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Rabobank forecasts Australia's 2025/26 winter grain and oilseed crop at 62.8 million tonnes, up 6.4% from last season and 6.1% above the five-year average. Above-average rainfall in Western Australia and northern New South Wales supports higher wheat, canola and barley output.
Rabobank warns that global grain supply is surging, pressuring prices.
A larger Australian crop plus rising global supply signals weaker export prices for Australian wheat and barley in the coming season.
sfs.org.auNov 9, 2025After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
