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China confirmed purchases of nearly 1.6 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans over three days, its largest buy in two years. CBOT soybean futures rallied to their highest since June 2024, and the U.S. premium over Brazilian beans widened sharply.
Large Chinese buying tightens U.S. old-crop supplies and lifts futures, while the steep premium makes U.S. beans uncompetitive for buyers like Turkey and Vietnam, which may shift demand toward Brazil.
reuters.comKarl PlumeNov 21, 2025After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
