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US soybean futures rose to a two-week high on August 11, 2025 after President Trump urged China to quadruple its purchases of American soybeans ahead of a tariff truce deadline. The White House said the China-US tariff truce was being extended.
Analysts called quadrupling orders highly unlikely.
China has not pre-booked any new-crop US soybeans, so the price rally depends on whether actual Chinese purchases follow. Without them, prices are likely to give back gains and US export sales risk falling short.
reuters.comElla CaoAug 11, 2025After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
