
Gold fell more than 3% and silver dropped over 5% after Fed officials signaled reluctance to cut rates in December. Oil rose more than 1% on concerns about lower Russian supply, while base metals fell on the hawkish Fed comments.
Oil prices feed into diesel and freight costs for feed production and transport. Russian supply concerns support crude prices, while the Fed's cautious stance reduces the chance of a weaker dollar.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.