The ReliefWeb Crop Monitor for Early Warning reports favourable West African cereal harvests, dry concerns in East Africa and the Middle East, and storm damage to wet-season crops in northern Southeast Asia. Central America faces drier-than-normal Segunda/Postrera conditions.
Regional dryness in East Africa and the Middle East supports import demand for wheat and feed grains, a modest bullish factor, while most other regions are favourable.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 31 past neutral weather events, Rough Rice moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.