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DTN analog-year analysis finds that a transition from La Niña to a strong El Niño by late 2026 has historically coincided with large US corn crops. The analysis picks 2023, 2015 and 2009 as the closest analogs.
It points to favorable summer temperatures and precipitation.
A large expected US corn crop is bearish for corn prices. Feed buyers may see softer corn costs if the pattern plays out, although the outlook is still months away.
dtnpf.comBryce AndersonFeb 18, 2026After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
