
Analysts said Indonesia's long-delayed B50 biodiesel mandate, which Prabowo reaffirmed on March 30, could add up to four million tonnes of annual palm oil demand. CIMB raised its 2026 CPO price forecast to RM4,400 per tonne, and palm prices have risen nearly 19% this year.
Potential demand of up to 4 million tonnes would tighten exportable palm supply and support prices, though implementation details remain unclear. Higher fuel and fertiliser costs may partly offset gains for planters.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
B50 could add up to 4 million tonnes of annual palm demand and analysts raised forecasts, supporting bullish positioning.