
Indonesia's palm oil association reported national palm oil stocks fell 76% in 2016 to 1.07 million tons, from 4.5 million at the end of 2015. The government raised the crude palm oil export tax from $3 to $18 per ton for February, as the benchmark price rose above $800.
Tighter Indonesian stocks and a higher export tax reduce export availability and lift palm oil's price relative to sunflower oil. Palm oil becomes more expensive for feed and oilseed buyers.
After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.